The Bank of England held the base rate at 3.75% today, voting 6-3. Six members of the Monetary Policy Committee voted to hold. Three voted to hike. No surprises from markets — this was the expected outcome.
The MPC remains strictly cautious, heavily influenced by the ongoing, yo-yoing conflict in the Middle East. Energy price volatility and geopolitical instability keep inflation risks front and centre, giving rate-setters little room to manoeuvre.
The three votes for a hike are the real story here. A 6-3 split is a divided committee — and the hawks are not going away. If Middle East tensions escalate further and oil prices spike again, those three hike votes could become four or five at the September meeting.
The base rate staying at 3.75% is not a green light to wait. Halifax, Santander, HSBC and Barclays have all raised mortgage rates in the last week independently of the base rate decision — driven by swap rate movements tied directly to energy market volatility. Lenders do not wait for the BOE to move. They have already moved.
This will keep property prices elevated and mortgage transactions steady — but it will not bring the rate relief many borrowers were hoping for before Christmas. Initial hopes for rate cuts have dissolved.
The specialist lending market has been moving independently of base rate for months. The hold today changes nothing for bad credit borrowers — the window for good specialist rates is not tied to what the BOE does. It is tied to what individual lenders do, and they are moving now.
Free assessment. No credit search. No obligation. Bad credit, CCJ, IVA, defaults — all considered. Darryl responds within 2 hours.
💬 WhatsApp Darryl Now 🚀 Free AssessmentFCA No. 301173 · contact@themortgagegeezer.co.uk · 01234 237321
The Mortgage Geezer is a trading style of Access Financial Services Limited, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority — FCA No. 301173. Your home may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage. This is not financial advice — speak to a qualified mortgage adviser before making any decisions.